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The track and intensity of tropical cyclones can be predicted with high accuracy using an AI model, which has the potential to protect lives if shared responsibly worldwide.
By
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Tom Beucler
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Tom Beucler is in the Faculty of Geosciences and Environment and the Expertise Center for Climate Extremes at the University of Lausanne, Lausanne CH-1015, Switzerland.
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Milton Gomez
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Milton Gomez is in the Faculty of Geosciences and Environment and the Expertise Center for Climate Extremes at the University of Lausanne, Lausanne CH-1015, Switzerland.
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Tropical cyclones — also called typhoons or hurricanes, depending on where they occur — are a major cause of deaths worldwide, and inflict considerable damage on property and infrastructure. The formation and evolution of these rapidly rotating weather systems are driven by effects on a range of scales, which makes it incredibly challenging to forecast them accurately using conventional models. Now, writing in Nature, Alet et al.1 introduce WeatherNext Cyclones (WN-C), an artificial-intelligence model that can produce two-week forecasts of unfolding tropical cyclones.
doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-026-02643-w
References
Alet, F. et al. Nature https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-026-10953-2 (2026).
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Mooney, K. R. et al. Earth Space Sci. 13, e2025EA004869 (2026).
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Zhang, Z. et al. Trop. Cyclone Res. Rev. 12, 30–49 (2023).
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Knapp, K. R., Kruk, M. C., Levinson, D. H., Diamond, H. J. & Neumann, C. J. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 91, 363–376 (2010).
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Gomez, M., Poulain-Auzéau, L., Berne, A. & Beucler, T. Artif. Intell. Earth Syst. 5, e250073 (2026).
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Alet, F. et al. Preprint at arXiv https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2506.10772 (2025).
Selz, T. & Craig, G. C. J. Geophys. Res. Mach. Learn. Comput. 3, e2025JH001180 (2026).
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Sun, Y. Q. et al. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 122, e2420914122 (2025).
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Knutson, T. et al. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 101, E303–E322 (2020).
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McGovern, A. et al. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 105, E567–E583 (2024).
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Competing Interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
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